Changes between Version 1 and Version 2 of projects/membership-meeting/2012/reports/trends


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Timestamp:
Oct 23, 2012, 9:02:32 AM (9 years ago)
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Jamie McClelland
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  • projects/membership-meeting/2012/reports/trends

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     1= Future Trends =
     2
    13If one could characterize this past year with a phrase, it could be "a year in which the rulers who govern us and the systems under which we live are being rejected."
    24
    35All traditional economic systems are failing and the spread of massive demonstrations, the fall of many goverments and the spectacular crisis of the European Union have seized the headlines. But the shadow of these political crises covers social and economic crises of equal importance:
    46
    5 the world crisis in food -- hunger, the failure of basic crops like corn, the deepening in the crisis of distribution, the decimation of seafood, etc.),
    6 
    7 devastating climate change (partly now irreversible)
    8 
    9 water shortage (a fifth of humanity has no running water and deeper conflicts and war over water loom)
    10 
    11 increasing world illness (including the recurrence of maladies we thought were wiped out as well as new illnesses we have no treatment for)
    12 
    13 human devastation through constant war world-wide
    14 
    15 governments are falling or being fundamentally challenged all over, including in the United States where an election between a centrist and a far-right candidate poses as democracy.
     7 * the world crisis in food -- hunger, the failure of basic crops like corn, the deepening in the crisis of distribution, the decimation of seafood, etc.),
     8 * devastating climate change (partly now irreversible)
     9 * water shortage (a fifth of humanity has no running water and deeper conflicts and war over water loom)
     10 * increasing world illness (including the recurrence of maladies we thought were wiped out as well as new illnesses we have no treatment for)
     11 * human devastation through constant war world-wide
     12 * governments are falling or being fundamentally challenged all over, including in the United States where an election between a centrist and a far-right candidate poses as democracy.
    1613
    1714The human race isn't taking this passively. Revolution, rebellion and democratic struggle rage throughout every continent on Earth and the impact of those struggles, particularly those which are successful, is deeply felt in this country. Here movements continue to grow, particularly in communities, accompanied by deeper, more nuanced and more skilled movement organizing and situational analysis. And those movements are confronting a reality and attempting to deal with it:
     
    3330While predicting the future is impossible, we can visualize several trends that will affect our work in the coming year:
    3431
    35 1 -- Intense struggle over Internet reach, availability and use. If some of our own progressive movements don't "get" the Internet's real and potential power, the ruling elites do. In many countries, particularly those in which struggle is very sharp, they are clamping down and seeking to control Internet activity.
     32 1. Intense struggle over Internet reach, availability and use. If some of our own progressive movements don't "get" the Internet's real and potential power, the ruling elites do. In many countries, particularly those in which struggle is very sharp, they are clamping down and seeking to control Internet activity.
    3633
    3734Such activity dove-tails with the trend toward usage of social media (like Facebook and Twitter) in struggles like the Arab Spring struggles and has made those social media alternatives much more attractive and usable that websites or email for these mass struggles.
     
    4138We can envision that this battle between repression of the Internet and freedom to use it will intensify and draw us further into the work we've been doing.
    4239
    43 2 -- Intensified activity in Latin America, particularly Mexico, as the United States adjusts its policies and intensifies intervention and disruption of the political trends in Latin America. The "drug war" in Mexico is certain to continue to deepen the social crisis there and we can expect continuously intensifying opposition activity. MF/PL is now part of that country's struggles.
     40 1. Intensified activity in Latin America, particularly Mexico, as the United States adjusts its policies and intensifies intervention and disruption of the political trends in Latin America. The "drug war" in Mexico is certain to continue to deepen the social crisis there and we can expect continuously intensifying opposition activity. MF/PL is now part of that country's struggles.
    4441
    45 3 -- The persistent problem of racial division in the movement. There is a white movement for change and several "non-white" movements and the two sectors have almost now contact, let alone collaboration. The only recent major collaboration with the Social Forum in 2010. Given the racism that flows in technology, it's clear that our organization is going to suffer from this general malady and is going to have to take it on in the coming year. Technology is one area in which the pressures of uneven resource and development, that feed racism, are less present.
     42 1. The persistent problem of racial division in the movement. There is a white movement for change and several "non-white" movements and the two sectors have almost now contact, let alone collaboration. The only recent major collaboration with the Social Forum in 2010. Given the racism that flows in technology, it's clear that our organization is going to suffer from this general malady and is going to have to take it on in the coming year. Technology is one area in which the pressures of uneven resource and development, that feed racism, are less present.
    4643
    47 4 -- The movement's need for progressive technology linked with increasing confusion over how to support it and relate to it. There is no movement consensus about building a technology organization and in some movements there is no consciousness about our existence as an example of one. Yet, it's clear that the task is fundamental and the situation is pushing the movement in this direction or its opposite: decisive dependence of corporate technology. This argument is one we must take on more aggressively.
     44 1. The movement's need for progressive technology linked with increasing confusion over how to support it and relate to it. There is no movement consensus about building a technology organization and in some movements there is no consciousness about our existence as an example of one. Yet, it's clear that the task is fundamental and the situation is pushing the movement in this direction or its opposite: decisive dependence of corporate technology. This argument is one we must take on more aggressively.
    4845
    49 5 -- Conversely, there is a very heightened consciousness in some sectors about technology and our organization. We are going to be called on to continuously raise our profile within the movement.
     46 1. Conversely, there is a very heightened consciousness in some sectors about technology and our organization. We are going to be called on to continuously raise our profile within the movement.
    5047
    5148In general, our history has been characterized by one truth: the social situation that affects technology and our work in it continues to demand an aggressive response and our job is to respond ever more aggressively. That continued this past year and it will continue in the coming year.